Adaptation to Environmental Change: Agriculture and the Unexpected Incidence of the Acid Rain Program
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Nicholas J. Sanders
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Alan I. Barreca
- American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (Forthcoming)
Abstract
The Acid Rain Program (ARP) cut sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions from power plants in the United States, with considerable
benefits. We show this also reduced ambient sulfate levels, which
lowered agriculture productivity through decreased soil sulfur. Using plant-level SO2 emissions and an atmospheric transport model,
we estimate the relationship between airborne sulfate levels and
yields for corn and soybean. We estimate crop revenue losses for
these two crops around $1–1.5 billion per year, with accompanying
decreases in land value. Back of the envelope calculations of the
costs to replace lost sulfur suggest producer responses were limited
and suboptimal.
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