Missing Bids
Abstract
We document a novel pattern in bids from procurement auctions: winning bids tendto be isolated. A missing mass of bids just above winning bids makes it a stage-game
protable deviation for bidders to bid higher. In plain terms, producers have incentives
to overcut. This unusual departure from stage-game best-response is a robust indicator
of collusion between bidders. In addition, it provides new insights on the mechanics of
collusive schemes.