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The Real Effects of ESG Investment

Paper Session

Friday, Jan. 6, 2023 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM (CST)

Sheraton New Orleans, Napoleon A
Hosted By: American Finance Association
  • Chair: Marcin Kacperczyk, Imperial College London

Labor Exposure to Climate Risk and Capital Deepening

Zhanbing Xiao
,
University of British Columbia

Abstract

Rising temperatures induced by climate change generate two types of climate risks that raise
labor costs of firms relying on outdoor workers: 1) physical risk - lower labor productivity in
high temperatures; and 2) regulatory risk - governments introducing regulations to protect
workers against heat-related hazards. Firms respond to physical risk events (abnormally
high temperatures) and regulatory risk events (the passage of the Heat Illness Prevention
Standard in California) by adopting more capital-intensive production functions. The adaptation
effect is more pronounced when firms’ managers strongly believe in climate change
or when jobs can be easily automated. Additional tests show that firms also increase innovations,
especially those facilitating automation and reducing labor costs. Furthermore,
the labor-channel exposure to climate change impedes industry expansion and hurts household
earnings. Overall, the findings highlight that climate change accelerates automation in
occupations exposed to rising temperatures.

ESG News, Future Cash Flows, and Firm Value

Francois Derrien
,
HEC Paris
Philipp Krueger
,
University of Geneva and Swiss Finance Institute
Augustin Landier
,
HEC Paris
Tianhao Yao
,
HEC Paris

Abstract

We investigate the expected consequences of negative ESG news on firms' future profits. After learning about negative ESG news, analysts significantly downgrade their forecasts at short and longer horizons. Negative ESG news affect forecasts more strongly at longer horizons than other types of negative corporate news. The negative revisions of earnings forecasts following negative ESG news reflect expectations of lower future sales (rather than higher future costs). Quantitatively, forecast revisions can explain most of the negative impacts of ESG news on firm value. Analysts are correct to revise forecasts downward following negative ESG news and ESG sensitive analysts tend to provide more accurate forecasts.

Proxy Voting and the Rise of ESG

Patrick Bolton
,
Columbia University
Enrichetta Ravina
,
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Howard Rosenthal
,
New York University
Chris Tausanovitch
,
University of California-Los Angeles

Abstract

We track the temporal pattern of institutional investors’ ideologies as revealed by their proxy votes from 2005 to 2018. Despite the financial crisis, the regulatory changes on proxy voting and transformation of the asset management industry it has spawned, and despite the rise of the socially responsible investment movement, we find that the ideology of the largest investors has remained highly stable. The ideologies of institutional investors are revealed by a dynamic, spatial scaling analysis of all proxy votes of 561mutual fund families. We characterize voting as driven by single-peaked preferences in a two-dimensional Euclidean space. One dimension reflects the familiar left-right ideological leanings, with more socially responsible investors on the left, and the other dimension differences in attitudes towards management, with management-friendly investors at one end and management-disciplinarians at the other. Although the ideology of the largest investors remains solidly stable on average, we find that the ideologies of a substantial fraction of other investors evolve substantially over time.

Communities as Stakeholders: Impact of Corporate Bankruptcies on Local Governments

Sudheer Chava
,
Georgia Institute of Technology
Baridhi Malakar
,
Georgia Institute of Technology
Manpreet Singh
,
Georgia Institute of Technology

Abstract

We provide new evidence on externalities imposed on local communities due to bankruptcy filings of publicly-listed manufacturing firms. Compared to matched counties with similar economic trends, municipal bond yields for counties with firm headquarters increase by 10 bps within a year of a firm’s bankruptcy filing. Notably, in counties with a lasting increase in yields, the local communities suffer prolonged economic distress. The effect is more pronounced for counties with budgetary restrictions. Meanwhile, counties in pro-business states are less affected. Our results highlight local communities as stakeholders to public firms whereby firm financial distress affects the municipal bond market.

Discussant(s)
David Ng
,
Cornell University
Henri Servaes
,
London Business School
Michelle Lowry
,
Drexel University
Emanuele Colonnelli
,
University of Chicago
JEL Classifications
  • G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance