Financial Stability
Paper Session
Sunday, Jan. 3, 2021 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM (EST)
- Chair: Dasol Kim, U.S. Office of Financial Research
A Theory of Collateral Requirements for Central Counterparties
Abstract
This paper develops a framework for designing collateral requirements in a centrally cleared market. Clearing members post collateral---initial margins and default funds---to increase their pledgeable income, thereby committing to risk management. The two types of collateral, however, are not perfect substitutes. Due to its loss-mutualization role, the default fund is more effective than initial margin in aligning members' incentives ex-ante. The optimal mix of collateral allocated as initial margin and default fund balances their relative effectiveness in providing incentives with their relative opportunity costs. Our model predicts increasing use of initial margin when capital requirements become more stringent, and of default funds under distressed market scenarios.Designing Stress Scenarios
Abstract
We develop a tractable framework to study the optimal design stress scenarios. A risk-averse principal (e.g, a manager, a regulator) seeks to learn about the exposures of a group of agents (e.g., traders, banks) to a set of risk factors. The principal asks the agents to report their outcomes (e.g., credit losses) under a variety of scenarios that she designs. She can then take remedial actions (e.g., mandate reductions in risk exposures). The principal's program has of two parts. For a given set of scenarios, we show how to apply a Kalman filter to solve the learning problem. The optimal design is then a function of what she wants to learn and how she intends to intervene if she uncovers excessive exposures. The choice of optimal scenarios depends on the principal's prior's about risk exposures, the cost of ex-post interventions, and the potential correlation of exposures across agents.Discussant(s)
Lasse Pedersen
,
Copenhagen Business School, New York University, AQR, and CEPR
Haoxiang Zhu
,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Itay Goldstein
,
University of Pennsylvania
JEL Classifications
- G2 - Financial Institutions and Services